Figure 3

Model output of age-specific incidence of cervical cancer (HPV-16 and-18 associated only) compared to empirical data. Red dotted line represents model output for the best-fitting set; grey lines represent model output for the next nine best-fitting sets. Black solid lines depict the 95% confidence interval of the empirical data at each age group (International Agency for Research on Cancer, 1976; Clifford et al, 2003a, 2003b, 2006).