Table 1 Trends in relative survival (%) by sex, time since diagnosis and calendar period of diagnosis: England and Wales, adults (15–99 years) diagnosed during 1986–1999 and followed up to 2001

From: Survival from cancer of the oesophagus in England and Wales up to 2001

  

Calendar period of diagnosis a

Average change (%)

Prediction c for patients

  

1986–1990

1991–1995

1996–1999

every 5 years b

diagnosed during 2000–2001

Time since diagnosis

 

Survival (%)

95% CI

Survival (%)

95% CI

Survival (%)

95% CI

Survival (%)

95% CI

Survival (%)

95% CI

1 year

Men

23.8

(23.1, 24.6)

26.7

(26.0, 27.5)

29.6

(28.7, 30.4)

3.7**

(2.1, 5.3)

30.6

(29.4, 31.7)

 

Women

24.4

(23.4, 25.4)

25.9

(25.0, 26.8)

26.8

(25.8, 27.8)

1.3

(−0.6, 3.3)

27.2

(25.8, 28.6)

5 years

Men

6.3

(5.9, 6.9)

6.3

(5.8, 6.7)

7.6

(7.0, 8.2)

1.7**

(0.6, 2.8)

8.0

(7.2, 8.7)

 

Women

7.4

(6.8, 8.1)

7.4

(6.9, 8.0)

7.2

(6.5, 8.0)

−0.3

(−1.7, 1.0)

7.8

(6.9, 8.8)

10 years

Men

5.1

(4.6, 5.6)

4.8

(4.3, 5.2)

  

2.0*

(0.2, 3.7)

6.5

(5.7, 7.3)

 

Women

6.2

(5.6, 6.8)

6.3

(5.7, 6.9)

  

0.7

(−1.7, 3.1)

6.5

(5.6, 7.5)

  1. CI=confidence interval.
  2. aSurvival estimated with cohort or complete approach (see Rachet et al, 2008).
  3. bMean absolute change (%) in survival every 5 years, adjusted for deprivation (see Rachet et al, 2008).
  4. cSurvival estimated with hybrid approach (see Rachet et al, 2008).
  5. *P<0.05; **P<0.01.
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