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Quantifying climate change — too rosy a picture?

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The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assesses the skill of climate models by their ability to reproduce warming over the twentieth century, but in doing so may give a false sense of their predictive capability.

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Figure 1
Figure 2

Change history

  • 29 June 2007

    The numbers on the left axis scale on figure 2 incorrectly read 0, 1.0, 1.0, rather than 0, 0.5, 1.0.

References

  1. Working Group I Report: The Physical Basis of Climate Change (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007); http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html

  2. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (eds Houghton, J. T. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, 2001)

  3. Hoffert, M. I. & Covey C. Nature 360, 573–576 (1992).

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Schwartz, S., Charlson, R. & Rodhe, H. Quantifying climate change — too rosy a picture?. Nature Clim Change 1, 23–24 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1038/climate.2007.22

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