Table 5 One-way scenario and sensitivity analyses of total costs
Costs considered and parameter assumptions | Control arm, US$ | WGS arm, US$ | Difference between arms, US$ (95% CI) | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cardiology cohort | (n = 51) | (n = 49) | ||
Base case | 9,841 | 13,376 | 3,535 (−2,490 to 8,970) | 0.236 |
Downstream costs analyzed | ||||
Immediately attributable services | 176 | 5,270 | 5,094 (5,015 to 5,175) | <0.001 |
Full genetics workup | 9,841 | 13,400 | 3,559 (−2,457 to 8,980) | 0.234 |
Secondary findings reported | ||||
Omitting carrier status | 9,841 | 13,194 | 3,353 (−2,634 to 8,780) | 0.247 |
Omitting polygenic risk predictions | 9,841 | 13,372 | 3,531 (−2,494 to 8,971) | 0.236 |
Reporting criteria for secondary findings about monogenic disease risks and carrier status | ||||
Pathogenic or likely pathogenic | 9,841 | 13,250 | 3,409 (−2,595 to 8,838) | 0.243 |
Only pathogenic | 9,841 | 13,244 | 3,403 (−2,601 to 8,839) | 0.244 |
No secondary findings | 9,941 | 13,307 | 3,366 (−1,042 to 7,774) | 0.134 |
Total cost of integrating WGS (base: $5,268) | ||||
$500 | 9,841 | 8,610 | −1,231 (−7,234 to 4,198) | 0.371 |
$1,000 | 9,841 | 9,110 | −731 (−6,734 to 4,698) | 0.387 |
$2,500 | 9,841 | 10,609 | 769 (−5,234 to 6,198) | 0.374 |
$10,000 | 9,841 | 18,110 | 8,269 (2,266 to 13,698) | 0.035 |
Health-care costs | ||||
50% of CMS rates | 5,838 | 10,058 | 4,219 (1,059 to 7,044) | 0.038 |
75% of CMS rates | 7,840 | 11,717 | 3,877 (−712 to 7,983) | 0.144 |
150% of CMS rates | 13,845 | 16,695 | 2,850 (−6,094 to 11,029) | 0.323 |
200% of CMS rates | 17,848 | 20,013 | 2,165 (−9,718 to 13,041) | 0.358 |
Perspective | ||||
Health sector (base case) | 9,841 | 13,376 | 3,535 (−2,490 to 8,970) | 0.236 |
Third-party payer (excludes out-of-pocket costs) | 9,397 | 13,107 | 3,710 (−2,272 to 9,082) | 0.220 |
Primary care cohort | (n = 50) | (n = 50) | ||
Base case | 3,137 | 8,894 | 5,756 (4,196 to 7,232) | 0.017 |
Downstream costs analyzed | ||||
Immediately attributable services | 196 | 5,290 | 5,094 (4,982 to 5,211) | <0.001 |
Full genetics workup | 3,137 | 9,018 | 5,881 (4,330 to 7,388) | 0.015 |
Secondary findings reported a | ||||
Omitting carrier status | 3,137 | 8,668 | 5,531 (3,974 to 7,014) | 0.021 |
Omitting polygenic risk predictions | 3,137 | 8,878 | 5,741 (4,177 to 7,224) | 0.017 |
Reporting criteria for monogenic disease risk and carrier status findings | ||||
Pathogenic or likely pathogenic | 3,137 | 8,772 | 5,635 (4,079 to 7,124) | 0.019 |
Only pathogenic | 3,137 | 8,712 | 5,576 (4,031 to 7,029) | 0.020 |
Total cost of integrating WGS (base: $5,222) | ||||
$500 | 3,137 | 4,169 | 1,032 (−538 to 2,525) | 0.617 |
$1,000 | 3,137 | 4,669 | 1,532 (−38 to 3,025) | 0.054 |
$2,500 | 3,137 | 6,169 | 3,032 (1,462 to 4,525) | 0.001 |
$10,000 | 3,137 | 13,669 | 10,532 (8,962 to 12,025) | <0.001 |
Health-care costs | ||||
50% of CMS rates | 2,331 | 7,792 | 5,461 (4,331 to 6,480) | <0.001 |
75% of CMS rates | 2,734 | 8,343 | 5,609 (4,279 to 6,866) | 0.003 |
150% of CMS rates | 3,942 | 9,996 | 6,054 (3,946 to 8,125) | 0.077 |
200% of CMS rates | 4,748 | 11,098 | 6,350 (3,689 to 9,031) | 0.154 |
Perspective | ||||
Health sector (base case) | 3,137 | 8,894 | 5,756 (4,196 to 7,232) | 0.017 |
Third-party payer (excludes out-of-pocket costs) | 2,607 | 8,416 | 5,809 (4,571 to 7,091) | 0.013 |