Table 2 Age- and sex-specific short-, intermediate-term and LTR estimates for stroke and its subtypes: adult health study, 45-year follow-up, 1958–2003, Japan
Short- and intermediate-term risk estimate (s.d.) (%) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stroke type | Sex | Index age (years) | 10 year | 20 year | 30 year | 40 year | LTR estimate (s.d.) (%) |
All-stroke | Men | 45 | 1.7 (0.3) | 6.3 (0.6) | 12.2 (0.9) | 17.7 (1.3) | 19.6 (1.5) |
55 | 5.9 (0.5) | 12.4 (0.7) | 18.4 (1.0) | 20.4 (1.1) | 20.5 (1.1) | ||
65 | 8.3 (0.6) | 14.9 (0.8) | 17.4 (0.9) | — | 17.6 (0.9) | ||
75 | 10.8 (1.4) | 15.3 (1.1) | — | — | 15.6 (1.1) | ||
Women | 45 | 1.0 (0.2) | 3.4 (0.3) | 8.2 (0.5) | 15.9 (1.0) | 18.0 (1.3) | |
55 | 2.2 (0.2) | 7.9 (0.4) | 16.3 (0.8) | 21.6 (1.0) | 22.2 (1.1) | ||
65 | 5.6 (0.4) | 14.6 (0.7) | 20.2 (0.8) | — | 21.3 (0.9) | ||
75 | 10.2 (0.6) | 16.8 (0.9) | — | — | 17.6 (0.9) | ||
Ischemic stroke | Men | 45 | 0.9 (0.2) | 3.7 (0.4) | 7.9 (0.7) | 12.6 (1.1) | 13.9 (1.4) |
55 | 3.6 (0.4) | 8.0 (0.6) | 12.6 (0.8) | 14.1 (0.9) | 14.2 (0.9) | ||
65 | 5.4 (0.5) | 10.1 (0.7) | 11.9 (0.8) | — | 11.9 (0.8) | ||
75 | 7.3 (0.7) | 10.4 (0.9) | — | — | 10.7 (0.9) | ||
Women | 45 | 0.4 (0.1) | 1.6 (0.2) | 4.7 (0.4) | 9.4 (0.8) | 10.6 (1.0) | |
55 | 1.1 (0.2) | 4.3 (0.3) | 9.9 (0.6) | 13.8 (0.9) | 14.4 (1.0) | ||
65 | 2.8 (0.3) | 8.4 (0.5) | 12.6 (0.7) | — | 13.5 (0.8) | ||
75 | 8.6 (0.5) | 10.3 (0.7) | — | — | 11.0 (0.8) | ||
Hemorrhagic stroke | Men | 45 | 0.6 (0.2) | 2.0 (0.3) | 3.3 (0.5) | 4.1 (0.6) | 4.6 (0.6) |
55 | 1.7 (0.3) | 3.2 (0.4) | 4.0 (0.5) | 4.5 (0.5) | 4.5 (0.5) | ||
65 | 1.9 (0.3) | 3.1 (0.4) | 3.7 (0.4) | — | 3.8 (0.5) | ||
75 | 2.3 (0.3) | 3.5 (0.5) | — | — | 3.5 (0.5) | ||
Women | 45 | 0.4 (0.1) | 1.4 (0.2) | 2.6 (0.3) | 5.1 (0.6) | 5.7 (0.8) | |
55 | 0.9 (0.1) | 2.4 (0.2) | 4.3 (0.4) | 5.5 (0.5) | 5.5 (0.5) | ||
65 | 1.8 (0.2) | 4.4 (0.4) | 5.4 (0.5) | — | 5.6 (0.5) | ||
75 | 3.3 (0.4) | 4.8 (0.5) | — | — | 4.9 (0.5) | ||
