Table 2 Interactions between covariates, hypotheses, inclusion in or exclusion from model and model results.

From: Past and estimated future impact of invasive alien mammals on insular threatened vertebrate populations

Interac tion

Hypothesis*

Interactions included in final model

Model result

Area*

Invasive mammal type

Invasive mammals expected to cause more extinctions on small islands due to smaller native populations, fewer alternative resources for invasive mammals and fewer refuges from invasive mammal impacts8

Invasive mammal groups differ in ability to successfully colonize small islands, depending on dietary flexibility and total resource needs7

Rat*area

Invasive rats increase extirpation probability for all native groups, with a stronger effect on smaller islands

Temperature or precipitation*

Invasive mammal type

Invasive mammal impacts may be stronger on resource-poor islands, which may correlate with low precipitation and extreme high or low temperatures70

Invasive mammal groups differ in the ability to successfully invade environments with different climates18,34

None

NA

Area*

Native class/volancy

Native vertebrate groups may differ in their ability to disperse to and diversify on islands of different sizes, due to differences in dispersal ability, body size and home range size36,37

These differences may influence the vulnerability of different native groups to anthropogenic impacts on islands of different sizes

Area*

Native class/volancy

Non-volant mammals and volant birds have higher extirpation risk on smaller islands; amphibians, bats, reptiles and non-volant birds have higher extirpation risk on larger islands

Temperature or precipitation*

Native class/volancy

Native vertebrate groups differ in susceptibility to anthropogenic impacts in different climates depending on life history traits (for example, endotherm versus ectotherm, home range size, flight ability)10

Precipitation*

Native class/volancy

Reptiles, non-volant mammals and bats have higher extirpation risk on drier islands; non-volant birds and amphibians have higher extirpation risk on wetter islands; precipitation has no effect on extirpation risk for volant birds

Native class/volancy*

Invasive mammal type

Native vertebrate groups differ in vulnerability to different invasive mammal groups depending on ecological overlap and predator/prey or competition relationships between native species and invasive mammals7

Native class/volancy*

Pig

Native class/volancy*cat

Invasive pigs increase extirpation probability for amphibians, bats, non-volant mammals, non-volant birds and volant birds; Invasive cats increase extirpation probability for non-volant birds, amphibians, reptiles and non-volant mammals

Native species body mass*

Native class/volancy

Different-sized species within each native group differ in life history traits that influence their vulnerability to anthropogenic impacts33

None

NA

Native species body mass*

Invasive mammal type

Native vertebrates of different sizes vary in susceptibility to invasive mammal impacts including predation (predators and omnivores) and habitat modification (omnivores and herbivores)33

None

NA

  1. Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
  2. *For each interaction, column 2 describes hypothesized mechanisms by which the interaction would impact extirpation probability for threatened island species.
  3. Native groups are listed in order of the strength of the effect of the interaction, from largest to smallest.