Figure 4: Observations and projections of monthly temperature and mortality in Europe.
From: Long-term projections and acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe
(a) Monthly observed time series of daily mean temperature (black line; °C), apparent temperature (grey; °C) and total mortality (green; cases per million) for the 1998–2003 period, and averaged for the 54 areas. Red and blue lines and squares depict the evolution of monthly mortality maxima for the set of summer (June-July-August (JJA)) and winter (December-January-February (DJF)) months, respectively. The transfer functions inferred from daily mean and apparent temperature were then used to derive the projections of total mortality for the 1950–2100 period. (b) Maxima of monthly mortality projections for the set of summer (JJA, red and pink curves) and winter (DJF, dark and light blue) months, and inferred from daily mean (red and dark blue) and apparent (pink and light blue) temperature.
