Figure 7: Reduction of model uncertainty over the SPG.
From: Abrupt cooling over the North Atlantic in modern climate models
Model ensemble mean and spread of the 21st century SST trend (oC 10−2 year−1) over the SPG in the RCP scenarios for different subsets of models: (black) all the 40 CMIP5 models; (red) CMIP5 models possessing a skill score S>0.8; (blue) CMIP5 models possessing a skill score S>0.9. Error bars indicate the standard deviation of the SST trend ensemble mean for the different subsets of models.
