Table 1 Classification of CMIP5 models in the three sub-ensembles.

From: Abrupt cooling over the North Atlantic in modern climate models

Subset name

List of models

Non-abrupt

ACCESS1-0; ACCESS1-3; bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m; BNU-ESM; CanESM2; CCSM4; CESM1-BGC; CESM1-CAM5-1-FV2; CMCC-CESM; CMCC-CM; CMCC-CMS; CNRM-CM; EC-EARTH; FGOLAS-g2; GFDL-CM3; GISS-E2-H; GISS-E2-H-CC; HadGEM2-AO; HadGEM2-CC; HadGEM2-ES; IPSL-CM5A-LR; IPSL-CM5A-MR; IPSL-CM5B-LR; MIROC-ESM; MIROC-ESM-CHEM; MPI-ESM-LR; MPI-ESM-MR; MRI-CGCM3; Nor-ESM1-M; NorESM1-ME

 

Model

Scenario

Year of occurrence

Δ GMT (oC)

SPG convection collapse

    
 

CESM1-CAM5

RCP8.5

∼2075

3.8

 

CSIRO-Mk3-6-0

RCP2.6

∼2025

1.6

 

GFDL-ESM2G

Historical

∼1920

0.2

 

GFDL-ESM2M

RCP2.6

RCP4.5

∼2025

∼2050

1.1

1.9

 

GISS-E2-R

RCP2.6

RCP4.5

RCP8.5

∼2050

∼2050

∼2055

1.4

1.6

1.9

 

GISS-E2-R-CC

RCP4.5

RCP8.5

∼2050

∼2050

1.7

2.0

 

MIROC5

RCP2.6

∼2065

1.4

AMOC disruption

    
 

FGOALS-s2

RCP2.6

RCP4.5

∼2025

∼2030

2.2

2.5

 

FIO-ESM

RCP2.6

RCP4.5

∼2035

∼2025

1.4

1.6

  1. List of models belonging to the three different sub-ensembles identified. For those models producing an SPG abrupt cooling (SPG convection collapse models and AMOC disruption models) the scenario and the year of occurrence of the event have been also displayed. In addition, the corresponding level of global warming calculated from the pre-industrial global mean temperature has been shown for all abrupt events.
Back to article page