Figure 3: Ten bi-weekly forecasts of infectious mosquitoes and human WNV cases for 2010.
From: Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates

The magenta lines are the ensemble mean forecasts, the grey area is the spread of the ensemble forecast (light grey represents area between the 10th and 90th percentile and the darker grey area represents the spread between the 25th and 75th percentile), blue lines are the ensemble mean posterior distribution, black x’s are data points assimilated into the model and red * are future observations.