Figure 1: Atmospheric carbon flux ratios.

Ratios are calculated annually as the ratio of net anthropogenic carbon emissions (energy and land-use emissions minus anthropogenic sinks) to net carbon sequestration by global plant, soil and ocean systems. Shaded ranges around the central value of each scenario indicate sensitivity of results to primary energy demand. Global surface temperature anomalies projections (ΔT) in 2,100 are indicated at the right, where each coloured bar treats the RE-Low and RE-High scenarios as the endpoints of a continuous range of energy sector decarbonization, plus a fixed rate of CCS. Historical values of RAF and associated errors (cf. equation (12)) from the IPCC are indicated by green bars3.