Figure 1: Predictors of flyway-level population trend estimates between 1993–2012 for ten EAAF migratory shorebirds. | Nature Communications

Figure 1: Predictors of flyway-level population trend estimates between 1993–2012 for ten EAAF migratory shorebirds.

From: Rapid population decline in migratory shorebirds relying on Yellow Sea tidal mudflats as stopover sites

Figure 1

(a) Bayesian variable selection identifying predictors that are important (indicator value ≥0.75; green shading), inconclusive (indicator value between 0.25 and 0.75; yellow shading) and unimportant (indicator value ≤0.25; red shading). (b) Bayesian linear regression of Yellow Sea reliance as a predictor of flyway-level population trend estimates. Grey shading shows the 95% CRI around the regression line. Points show flyway-level population trend estimates, the mean annual rate of change in total abundance estimates. Error bars represent the 95% CRI around population trends. These analyses included the menzbieri subspecies of bar-tailed godwit and excluded the baueri subspecies (see Methods).

Back to article page