Figure 3: Ensemble model predictions of changes to clinical incidence resulting from a 90% reduction in EIR over the past 5 years, as a function of starting prevalence. | Nature Communications

Figure 3: Ensemble model predictions of changes to clinical incidence resulting from a 90% reduction in EIR over the past 5 years, as a function of starting prevalence.

From: Defining the relationship between infection prevalence and clinical incidence of Plasmodium falciparum malaria

Figure 3

In each panel the coloured curve and shaded zones illustrate the (pointwise) median and surrounding 68 and 95% credible intervals for the change in incidence detectable with daily ACD. Predictions are given for low (a) and high (b) seasonality settings.

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