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Anticipating the perceived risk of nanotechnologies

A Corrigendum to this article was published on 01 December 2009

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Abstract

Understanding emerging trends in public perceptions of nanomaterials is critically important for those who regulate risks. A number of surveys have explored public perceptions of their risks and benefits. In this paper we meta-analyse these surveys to assess the extent to which the following four hypotheses derived from previous studies of new technologies might be said to be valid for nanotechnologies: risk aversion will prevail over benefit appreciation; an increase in knowledge will not result in reduced aversion to risks; judgements will be malleable and subject to persuasion given risk-centric information; and contextual, psychometric and attitudinal predictors of perceived risk from prior studies can help anticipate future perceptions of nanotechnologies. We find that half the public has at least some familiarity with nanotechnology, and those who perceive greater benefits outnumber those who perceive greater risks by 3 to 1. However, a large minority of those surveyed (44%) is unsure, suggesting that risk judgements are highly malleable. Nanotechnology risk perceptions also appear to contradict some long-standing findings. In particular, unfamiliarity with nanotechnology is, contrary to expectations, not strongly associated with risk aversion and reduced ‘knowledge deficits’ are correlated with positive perceptions in this early and controversy-free period. Psychometric variables, trust and affect continue to drive risk perceptions in this new context, although the influence of both trust and affect is mediated, even reversed, by demographic and cultural variables. Given the potential malleability of perceptions, novel methods for understanding future public responses to nanotechnologies will need to be developed.

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Figure 1: Self-reported familiarity with nanotechnologies.
Figure 2: Public perceptions of the relative risks versus benefits of nanotechnology.
Figure 3: Proportion of participants judging that benefits will exceed risks given their previous familiarity with nanotechnology.
Figure 4: Number of papers exploring the role of risk communication and management variables, attitudinal variables, heuristics and biases, and demographic variables in influencing risk judgements.

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  • 29 November 2009

    In the version of this Article originally published, the data from ref. 50 used in the meta-analysis and plotted in Fig. 2 were incorrect because these data were subsequently corrected in ref. 51. This mistake does not change any of the conclusions of the paper. An error also occurred in plotting the data from ref. 40 in Fig. 2, but the correct data were used in the rest of the paper. Figure 2 (including caption) and the first two sentences of the paragraph beginning "In the nine surveys" on page 754 of this Article have been amended accordingly in the HTML and PDF versions of the Article.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Cooperative Agreement 0531184 between the US National Science Foundation (NSF) and the Center for Nanotechnology in Society at University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB); by Cooperative Agreement EF 0830117 between NSF, the Environmental Protection Agency and the Center for the Environmental Implications of Nanotechnology (UCSB and University of California, Los Angeles), and by an Alexander Graham Bell Graduate Scholarship from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.

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T.S. and M.K. conceived and designed the meta-analysis. C.B. and M.K. analysed the data. T.S. wrote the paper, with M.K. and C.B. providing input on original drafts and revisions. B.H.H. and J.C. provided key materials and summaries of studies, and all authors discussed the results and commented on the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Terre Satterfield.

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Satterfield, T., Kandlikar, M., Beaudrie, C. et al. Anticipating the perceived risk of nanotechnologies. Nature Nanotech 4, 752–758 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1038/nnano.2009.265

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