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Utility of echocardiography in predicting mortality in infants with severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia

Abstract

Objective

To determine the relationship between interventricular septal position (SP) and right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) and mortality in infants with severe BPD (sBPD).

Study design

Infants with sBPD in the Children’s Hospitals Neonatal Database who had echocardiograms 34–44 weeks’ postmenstrual age (PMA) were included. SP and RVSP were categorized normal, abnormal (flattened/bowed SP or RVSP > 40 mmHg) or missing.

Results

Of 1157 infants, 115 infants (10%) died. Abnormal SP or RVSP increased mortality (SP 19% vs. 8% normal/missing, RVSP 20% vs. 9% normal/missing, both p < 0.01) in unadjusted and multivariable models, adjusted for significant covariates (SP OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.2–3.0; RVSP OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.1–4.7). Abnormal parameters had high specificity (SP 82%; RVSP 94%), and negative predictive value (SP 94%, NPV 91%) for mortality.

Conclusions

Abnormal SP or RVSP is independently associated with mortality in sBPD infants. Negative predictive values distinguish infants most likely to survive.

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Code availability

The computer code used to generate statistical analyses may be made available upon request to the Children’s Hospitals Neonatal Consortium.

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Funding

The Children’s Hospitals Neonatal Consortium (501-c3 organization) supported the statistical analyses presented in this manuscript.

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Contributions

SV-R, EMW, KM, JML: Research question and design, data analysis and interpretation, draft preparation, editing, and revision of the manuscript. IZ: Statistical analysis of the manuscript. MAP, WET, WAE, RCS, SY, JWL, HZ, EBH, TRG, GN, LDN, NFMP, KPP, RD: Data interpretation, editing and revision of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Shilpa Vyas-Read.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Vyas-Read, S., Wymore, E.M., Zaniletti, I. et al. Utility of echocardiography in predicting mortality in infants with severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. J Perinatol 40, 149–156 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41372-019-0508-5

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