Table 5 Linear prediction analyses for the whole group: for RFs only (M1), age-14 distress only (M2), and RFs and age-14 distress together (M3).

From: Embracing the positive: an examination of how well resilience factors at age 14 can predict distress at age 17

 

M1: RFs only

M2: D14 only

M3: RFs and D14

 

Observed

Predicted

Observed

Predicted

Observed

Predicted

RMSE

1.18

1.18

1.15

1.13

1.16

1.13

R2

0.18

0.16

0.23

0.22

0.22

0.22

MAE

0.90

0.91

0.87

0.88

0.88

0.88

Accuracy

–

37.14%

–

40.00%

–

40.71%

Predicted into CI95%

–

104

–

112

–

114

Not predicted into CI95%

–

176

–

168

–

166

Accuracy plots

x-axis:

Observed (left = black) vs. predicted (right = grey) distribution

y-axis:

Distress level

  1. All models were computed with childhood adversity and gender as predictors. Model accuracy was based on 1000 bootstraps. D14 age-14 distress, RMSE root mean squared error, MAE mean absolute error, Accuracy relative number of correctly predicted cases.
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