Table 2 Colorectal cancer recurrence and overall survival according to tumour risk strata and CD8+ cell density in pooled VICTOR and QUASAR2 trial population

From: Tumour-infiltrating CD8+ lymphocytes and colorectal cancer recurrence by tumour and nodal stage

 

No.

No. events

Predicted proportion event free at 3 years

Univariable analysis

Multivariable analysis

25th centile CD8+ cell density (95% CI)

75th centile CD8+ cell density (95% CI)

HR (95% CI)

P

P INTERACTION

HR (95% CI)

P

P INTERACTION

Time to recurrence

 Low risk (pT3, N0)

453

60

0.90 (0.88 –0.93)

0.90 (0.88–0.93)

1.02 (0.86–1.20)

0.85

0.072

1.03 (0.87–1.21)

0.75

0.090

 Intermediate risk (pT4, N0 or pT1-3, N1/2)

1035

242

0.79 (0.76–0.82)

0.82 (0.80–0.85)

0.91 (0.85–0.98)

0.016

 

0.92 (0.86–1.0)

0.046

 

 High risk (pT4, N1/2)

303

132

0.58 (0.53–0.64)

0.69 (0.63–0.75)

0.86 (0.78–0.96)

4.7 × 10−3

 

0.87 (0.79–0.97)

9.4 × 10−3

 

Overall survival

 Low risk (pT3, N0)

453

52

0.95 (0.94–0.97)

0.95 (0.93–0.96)

1.03 (0.87–1.23)

0.72

0.051

1.04 (0.87–1.24)

0.69

0.056

 Intermediate risk (pT4, N0 or pT1-3, N1/2)

1035

177

0.89 (0.87–0.91)

0.90 (0.88–0.92)

0.94 (0.86–1.03)

0.20

 

0.94 (0.86–1.03)

0.22

 

 High risk (pT4, N1/2)

303

120

0.75 (0.71–0.80)

0.82 (0.78–0.86)

0.88 (0.79–0.97)

0.017

 

0.88 (0.79–0.98)

0.022

 
  1. Point estimates of probability of colorectal cancer recurrence and overall survival are derived from univariable Cox regression of CD8+ cell density as a continuous variable (corresponding estimates by the Kaplan–Meier estimator for cases dichotomised at the median CD8+ cell density are shown in Table S6). Both point estimates and univariable hazard ratios are derived from complete case analyses. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios are adjusted for age, sex, tumour location, BRAF mutation, MMR-D/POLE mutation, CIN and adjuvant bevacizumab. Tests for interaction are from the cross product term of tumour risk stratum and log2 CD8+ cell density in bi-variable and multivariable models
  2. HR hazard ratio, 95% CI 95% confidence interval, pT pathological tumour (T) stage