Table 3 Association of MR-derived tumour characteristics with overall survival and locoregional failure and LRF in 228 patients with analysable pre-treatment MR scans, Christie series 2006 to 2015
Variable | Overall survival | Loco-regional failure | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 yr OS (95% CI) | HRa (95% CI) | p value | HRb (95% CI) | p value | 3 yr LRF (95% CI) | HRa (95% CI) | p value | HRb (95% CI) | p value | |
Position | ||||||||||
Canal (208) | 72.3 (65.5–77.9) | Referent | Referent | 18.2 (13.-5–24.2) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Margin (20) | 94.7 (68.1–99.2) | 0.16 (0.02–1.16) | 0.070 | 0.23 (0.03–1.69) | 0.15 | 0 | 0.24 (0.03–1.71) | 0.153 | 0.37 (0.05–2.70) | 0.326 |
T Stage | ||||||||||
T1 (7) | 100 | 0d | 1.00 | 0d | 1.00 | 0d | 0d | 1.00 | 0d | . |
T2 (124) | 83.7 (75.9–89.2) | Referent | Referent | 6.5 (3.3–12.6) | Referent | Referent | ||||
T3 (52) | 62.5 (47.6–74.2) | 2.57 (1.37–4.82) | 0.0030 | 2.28 (1.20–4.31) | 0.011 | 29.0 (18.6–43.5) | 4.42 (2.00–9.74) | <0.001 | 3.72 (1.67–8.30) | <0.001 |
T4 (45) | 57.7 (42.0–70.6) | 3.10 (1.66–5.82) | <0.001 | 2.60 (1.36–4.97) | 0.0040 | 32.9 (18.6–43.5) | 4.49 (1.99–10.11) | <0.001 | 3.38 (1.46–7.81) | 0.004 |
Size (per cm) (228) | 1.23 (1.11–1.38) | <0.001 | 1.21 (1.07–1.36) | 0.0010 | 1.45 (1.29–1.64) | <0.001 | 1.43 (1.26–1.63) | <0.001 | ||
T size with cutoff at 4 cm | ||||||||||
<4 (102) | 86.1 (77.6–91.5) | Referent | Referent | 4.9 (2.1–11.4) | Referent | Referent | ||||
≥4 (126) | 64.6 (55.5–72.3) | 2.97 (1.63–5.42) | <0.001 | 2.52 (1.36–4.67) | 0.003 | 26.3 (19.4–35.1) | 6.56 (2.57–16.75) | <0.001 | 5.17 (1.99–13.44) | <0.001 |
Any Nodes | ||||||||||
Negative (136) | 82.1 (74.5–87.6) | Referent | Referent | 9.0 (5.2–13.4) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Positive (92) | 62.5 (51.6–71.5) | 2.36 (1.40–3.98) | <0.001 | 2.08 (1.23–3.52) | 0.006 | 27.6 (19.5–38.0) | 3.41 (1.76–6.61) | <0.001 | 2.70 (1.39–5.24) | 0.003 |
Total Nodes | 1.19 (1.10–1.28) | <0.001 | 1.16 (1.07–1.26) | <0.001 | 1.18 (1.07–1.30) | <0.001 | 1.13 (1.02–1.26) | 0.016 | ||
N stage V7 | ||||||||||
N0 (136, 60%) | 82.1 (74.5–87.6) | Referent | Referent | 9.0 (5.2–15.4) | Referent | Referent | ||||
N1 (44, 19%) | 69.6 (53.4–81.1) | 1.85 (0.94–3.64) | 0.074 | 1.72 (0.87–3.37) | 0.117 | 27.4 (16.6–43.2) | 3.38 (1.56–7.29) | 0.002 | 2.91 (1.35–6.29) | 0.007 |
N2 (20, 9%) | 70.0 (45.1–85.3) | 1.81 (0.74–4.44) | 0.192 | 1.44 (0.58–3.58) | 0.43 | 25.3 (11.4–50.6) | 2.78 (0.99–7.80) | 0.052 | 1.78 (0.62–5.12) | 0.285 |
N3 (28, 12%) | 46.4 (27.6–63.3) | 3.67 (1.92–7.00) | <0.001 | 3.24 (1.70–6.20) | <0.001 | 29.4 (15.9–50.3) | 3.97 (1.70–9.30) | <0.001 | 3.22 (1.38–7.54) | 0.007 |
N stage V8 | ||||||||||
N0 (136, 60%) | 82.1 (74.5–87.6) | Referent | Referent | 9.0 (5.2–15.4) | Referent | Referent | ||||
N1a (87, 38%) | 69.6 (53.4–81.1) | 1.85 (0.94–3.64) | 0.074 | 1.72 (0.87–3.37) | 0.117 | 29.2 (20.7–40.1) | 3.64 (1.88–7.07) | <0.001 | 2.96 (1.52–5.75) | <0.001 |
N1b (1. 0.4%) | 70.0 (45.1–85.3) | 1.81 (0.74–4.44) | 0.192 | 1.44 (0.58–3.58) | 0.434 | - | - | - | - | - |
N1c (4, 2%) | 46.4 (27.6–63.3) | 3.67 (1.92–7.00) | <0.001 | 3.24 (1.70–6.20) | <0.001 | - | - | - | - | - |
Dentate–Position | ||||||||||
Above (36) | 86.0 (69.6–93.9) | Referent | Referent | 11.1 (4.3–27.0) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Straddling (140) | 67.5 (59.0–74.6) | 2.50 (1.00–6.31) | 0.052 | 2.09 (0.81–5.38) | 0.128 | 19.9 (14.1–27.7) | 1.51 (58.1–3.90) | 0.400 | 0.89 (0.33–2.39) | 0.823 |
Below (52) | 84.4 (71.2–91.9) | 1.11 (0.36–3.39) | 0.856 | 1.36 (0.44–4.23) | 0.54 | 11.6 (5.4–24.0) | 0.97 (0.31–0.05) | 0.956 | 1.11 (0.34–3.59) | 0.868 |
Rectal Extension | ||||||||||
No (88) | 82.6 (72.7–89.1) | Referent | Referent | 10.4 (5.5–19.0) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Yes (140) | 69.0 (60.5–76.0) | 1.99 (1.10–3.58) | 0.022 | 1.51 (0.83–2.75) | 0.173 | 20.5 (14.6–28.3) | 1.76 (0.88–3.52) | 0.111 | 1.20 (0.60–2.43) | 0.607 |
Extra-mural Vascular Invasion | ||||||||||
No (215) | 72.4 (71.1–82.4) | Referent | Referent | 14.6 (10.5–20.2) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Yes (13) | 20.5 (3.9–46.3) | 5.24 (2.64–10.41) | <0.001 | 3.66 (1.80–7.41) | <0.001 | 51.4 (27.0–80.8) | 4.11 (1.72–9.82) | <0.001 | 2.31 (0.95–5.61) | 0.064 |
Tumour Signal Heterogeneity | ||||||||||
No (111) | 80.7 (72.0–87.0) | Referent | Referent | 7.4 (3.8–14.2) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Yes (117) | 68.0 (58.6–75.7) | 1.89 (1.11–3.23) | 0.020 | 1.69 (1.00–2.90) | 0.057 | 25.3 (18.3–34.3) | 3.22 (1.57–6.58) | <0.001 | 2.66 (1.29–5.48) | 0.008 |
Sphincter Infiltrationc | ||||||||||
Internal (62) | 78.7 (66.2–87.0) | Referent | Referent | 8.2 (3.5–18.6) | Referent | Referent | ||||
External (113) | 72.9 (63.5–80.2) | 1.27 (0.66–2.43) | 0.47 | 0.82 (0.41–1.63) | 0.57 | 13.5 (8.4–21.4) | 1.51 (0.59–3.85) | 0.391 | 0.85 (0.33–2.23) | 0.747 |
Ischio-anal fossa(51) | 70.5 (55.9–81.0) | 1.46 (0.69–3.06) | 0.32 | 0.72 (0.31–1.65) | 0.434 | 34.0 (22.7–48.9) | 4.04 (1.60–10.18) | 0.003 | 1.46 0.54–3.97) | 0.456 |
Perianal abscess | ||||||||||
No (209) | 73.3 (66.7–78.9) | Referent | Referent | 17.5 (13.0–23.5) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Yes (19) | 83.9 (57.9–94.5) | 0.59 (0.18–1.88) | 0.370 | 0.58 (0.18–1.84) | 0.353 | 5.6 (0.8–33.4) | 0.27 (0.04–2.00) | 0.201 | 0.25 (0.03–1.84) | 0.175 |
Primary Organ Extension | ||||||||||
No (220) | 78.3 (71.5–83.7) | Referent | Referent | 12.7 (8.6–18.5) | Referent | Referent | ||||
Yes (45) | 57.7 (42.0–70.6) | 2.27 (1.31–3.94) | 0.003 | 1.57 (0.88–2.78) | 0.124 | 32.9 (20.9–49.1) | 2.45 (1.28–4.70) | 0.007 | 1.37 (0.71–2.65) | 0.346 |