Abstract
The European Council recommends adopting risk-based screening when relevant. In triaging HPV-positive women, it can be an effective strategy to reduce overtreatment and referral to colposcopy. HPV genotyping and p16/ki67 expression may allow a better risk stratification than cytology. In Italy, recommendations on their use (alone or combined) in screening were developed by a multi-professional (nine scientific societies) and multidisciplinary working group (including patients and decision makers). Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) Evidence to Decision frameworks were used. Data from large clinical trials on screening populations with long follow-up instructed the biomarkers’ evaluation. The working group defined the CIN3+ risk thresholds (a surrogate marker of cancer risk) to guide decisions on management: immediate colposcopy, referral to 1-year and 3-year retesting. The risk-based approach allowed to reduce the number of possible strategies to be compared to five specific healthcare questions framed as PICOs. The prioritised outcomes were risk of cancer and of CIN3+ in HPV+/triage-negative women, number of colposcopies, number of samples to be taken, and number of unneeded treatments. The combination of morphological markers (cytology or p16/ki67) and extended HPV genotyping was the only strategy with a conditional recommendation in favour when compared with cytology.
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Data availability
The guideline development project and final recommendations were published on the database of the Italian National System of Guidelines (SNLG) of the National Institute of Health (ISS) (Sistema Nazionale Linee Guida, Istituto Superiore di Sanità). https://www.iss.it/-/snlg-prevenzione-carcinoma-cervice-uterina. It includes the complete Evidence-to-Decision and Summary of Findings tables (and relative references), and is available upon request to the corresponding author; simplified copies are included in the Supplementary material.
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We thank Paola Lippi for her valuable support.
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TM, RG, PC, GN, AP, MB, FM, ET, FMB, PM, AI, PG (as Technical Scientific Committee members or additional collaborators at the start of the guidelines project) conceived the guidelines, defined the scope, and prioritised the Health Questions in each chapter. ADM, PGR, FC (as chair or co-chairs) defined the protocol for literature reviews and modelling. SG, FV (as Evidence Review Team members) conducted the research, extracted the data, and filled the Sof and EtD for plenary sessions. ADM, PGR, SG, FV, FC edited the draft recommendations after plenary sessions and made changes to take into account the reviewers’ comments. ADM cured the contacts with the Italian National guideline system, submitted and got approved the recommendations. EA, BA, KLA, PA, MB, SB, AB, SB, EB, FC, EC, LC, CC, LDM, PF, HF, CF, PG, DG, VM, LM, MM, SM, VN, BP, TR, CS, PSdB, MLT, EV, CBV (as panel members) participated in prioritisation of outcome and framing of PICOs, took an active part in the plenary sessions, voted or agreed to each criteria, reviewed the draft recommendations and approved the final version after review. LDM also conceived the reported chapter of the guidelines. IB, MZ (as external reviewers) revised the review and modelling protocol. IB, MZ, ADI, and EPP (as external reviewers) reviewed the draft of the recommendations, asking for integrations and clarifications. PGR, FV, ADM, and SG drafted and edited the manuscript; FC edited the manuscript. All contributed to the final version of the guidelines and fulfilled the criteria for contributors according to the ICMJE criteria. All the authors and contributors read and approved the final version of the manuscript and agreed with its submission to the journal. ADM, as corresponding author, confirms to have read the Nature journal policies on author responsibilities and is submitting the manuscript in accordance with those policies.
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SG, FV, FC, and ADM have disclosed no conflicts of interest; PGR participated in the preparation of the IARC Handbook 18 on cervical screening. COIs were collected from all the Contributor Group members. Overall, seven members disclosed potential conflicts of interest and these COIs are included in the final document published on the database of the Italian National System of Guidelines (SNLG) of the National Institute of Health (ISS) (Sistema Nazionale Linee Guida, Istituto Superiore di Sanità): https://www.iss.it/documents/20126/8403884/LG_197_GISCi_Biomarcatori-screening-cervicale_29ago24.pdf/40999ebc-246c-fe99-d483-4da375d9f76a?t=1724836991806. The Technical Scientific Committee members judged as “potentially relevant” those of three members; they were allowed full participation in the vote, with COI public disclosure.
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Not applicable. The guideline development project has been submitted to and approved by the Italian National System of Guidelines (SNLG) of the National Institute of Health (ISS) (Sistema Nazionale Linee Guida, Istituto Superiore di Sanità) https://snlg.iss.it/.
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Gori, S., Venturelli, F., Carozzi, F. et al. Italian guidelines for cervical cancer screening. Multisocietal recommendations on the use of biomarkers in HPV screening with risk-based approach and GRADE methodology. Br J Cancer (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41416-025-03161-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41416-025-03161-8