Fig. 6: Daily incidence of new infections and future scenarios.
The Leopoldina Statement reported the daily incidence of new covid-19 infections in Germany (a blue dots and line) followed by a statistical modeling of new infections, with full implementation of all proposed measure of containment (hygiene recommendations, physical distancing, nose and mouth protection, testing, digital data tracking, selected targeted quarantine) with a very gradual relaxation of restrictive measures imposed to public life (a, green line 1). Conversely, the scenario proposes a fast reactivation of the infections (a, reddish line 2) if the proposed measures fail to be implemented. The read frequency of cases in South Korea (b), despite full implementation, shows that sporatic new infections cannot be fully avoided despite serious prevention, resulting in a low grade of endemic cases88.
