Fig. 6
From: State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
City-specific estimates of the excess mortality attributable to the 2003 EHWD. Black symbols are observed estimates from the literature (Supplementary Table 3; note two very similar estimates for Paris). Circles denote studies that have reported both the number of excess deaths and the baseline population; diamonds denote studies which have only reported the number of excess deaths and where we have used the corresponding city population reported for 2003 in official statistics as a baseline. Grey bars and red lines are results from this study, for three different climate forcing datasets (left: GSWP3, middle: PGFv2, right: WFDEI). The bars indicate the results obtained by using the lower and upper 95% confidence intervals for the linear exposure response function slopes from ref. 60, and the red line indicates the result obtained using the central estimate for the slope
