Fig. 1 | Nature Communications

Fig. 1

From: Climate policy implications of nonlinear decline of Arctic land permafrost and other cryosphere elements

Fig. 1

Cumulative carbon emissions from thawing land permafrost simulated using specialised land surface models. CO2 component of cumulative emissions of carbon from thawing land permafrost, obtained from a SiBCASA and b JULES LSMs forced by multiple climate models (GCMs) under a range of climate scenarios out to 2300. Thick lines: multi-GCM means; shaded areas: multi-GCM spread between the lowest and the highest values; thin black lines: SiBCASA runs with individual GCMs. Horizontal black dashed lines: legacy zero permafrost emissions currently assumed in IAMs. Units: GtC. Source data are provided as a Source Data file

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