Fig. 4

Effect of magnitude of land-use change and climate change on regional variation in loss of suitable habitat. a Effect of proportion of land that has changed from the current land use to another land use on proportion of loss in suitable habitat due to land-use change. Each point represents proportion of loss by land-use change, aggregated by species’ native region and taxonomic groups for mitigation or baseline scenario in the 2050s and 2070s. Species in multiple regions were not used for the analysis. Regression lines (black) are based on the linear regression equation Y = 0.14 + 1.68X (adjusted-R2: 0.72); Y: logit transformed average proportion of loss of suitable habitat due to land-use change; X: logit transformed proportion of land that has changed from current to another land use. b Effect of difference in maximum temperature of warmest month (bio5) on proportion of loss in suitable habitat due to climate change. This variable was selected based on preliminary correlation analysis among 19 bioclimatic variables. Each point represents the average proportion of loss by climate change, aggregated by species’ native region and taxonomic groups, for mitigation or baseline scenario in the 2050s and 2070s. Species in multiple regions were not used in the analysis. Regression lines are based on multiple linear regression of the equation Y = –2.79 + 0.28X (adjusted-R2: 0.41); Y: logit transformed average proportion of loss of suitable habitat due to climate change; X: difference in maximum temperature of warmest month (bio5). Grey lines indicate 95% prediction interval in each regression model. Source data are provided as a Source Data file