Fig. 4: Effect of easing the social distancing for individuals with asymptomatic/mild infections in Bahia.
From: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in 14.8 million individuals in Bahia, Brazil
Impact on the (a) number of cases, (b) deaths, (c) clinical hospitalization, and (d) ICU bed requirements at the state level. Here, the value of δ has been increased by 50% (δ = 0.51 in this simulation). The black dots correspond to the actual number of cases (a), deaths (b), and hospital bed occupancy (c)–(d). The assumed parameter values are shown in Supplementary Table 3. Raw data from March 6 to May 4, 2020 are shown in this graph.
