Table 2 Scenarios of critical interventions adopted exactly when total clinical beds availability is reached (05/09/20), with variations of the transmission rate and intervention length.
From: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in 14.8 million individuals in Bahia, Brazil
Percentage of transmission rate reduction | Intervention length (days) | Date when the hospitalization threshold is re-achieved (days) | Date of second hospitalization collapse (days of delay) | Date when the ICU threshold is re-achieved (days) | Date of second ICU collapse (days of delay) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | does not occura | – | b | 05/18/20 (5) | |
14 | does not occura | – | b | 05/26/20 (13) | |
50% | 30 | does not occura | – | b | 06/21/20 (39) |
60 | 06/17/20 (39) | 07/30/20 (43) | b | 08/04/20 (83) | |
90 | 06/17/20 (39) | 09/10/20 (86) | b | 09/15/20 (125) | |
7 | does not occura | – | b | 05/25/20 (12) | |
14 | 05/26/20 (17) | 06/05/20 (10) | b | 06/12/20 (30) | |
75% | 30 | 05/26/20 (17) | 07/17/20 (52) | b | 07/21/20 (69) |
60 | 05/26/20 (17) | 09/26/20 (123) | b | 09/30/20 (140) |
