Fig. 5: Reconstruction of the Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance across all CMIP5 and CMIP6 emission scenarios.
From: Greater Greenland Ice Sheet contribution to global sea level rise in CMIP6
a Annual Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance (Gt/yr) for the CMIP5 and CMIP6 extreme high-emission scenarios (RCP8.5 and SSP585), reconstructed with the individual equations found in Fig. 4c). The orange and blue numbers denote the years in which the mean SMB of the CMIP6 and CMIP5 ensemble drops below 0 Gt/yr, the colored lines represent the ensemble mean, the shaded areas cover ±1 SDs around the mean. The size of the ensemble is given in the figure legend (e.g., n = 28). b Same as a but for the RCP4.5 and SSP245 scenarios. c Same as a and b but for the low-emission scenarios RCP2.6 and SSP126.
