Fig. 3: Seasonal plausibility of GCM estimates of SIA/MIZF sensitivity.
From: Marginal ice zone fraction benchmarks sea ice and climate model skill
(Top row) Seasonal cycle of sea ice sensitivity ρSIA (units %/K), for CLIVAR-LE members or CMIP6-EME over 1979–2014. Boxes cover the interquartile range and horizontal whiskers the ensemble median. Vertical whiskers extend to ±3σ from the ensemble mean (95% of normally distributed data). Black solid line is the mean from observations. Dashed lines bound observational uncertainty (see “Methods”). Red shaded boxes are implausible estimates of sensitivity, and blue are plausible estimates (see “Methods”). (Bottom row) Same, but for MIZF sensitivity ρMIZF (units %/K).
