Fig. 2: Job connectivity determines a universal trend in urban resilience and predicts unemployment during the Great Recession.

A The steady-state solutions of the simulation model for each city while varying the rate of job match dissolution λ. B Similar to (A) but controlling for the job connectivity in each city \({w}_{{\rm{eff}}}^{c}\). Solid line is the analytically-derived employment rate at equilibrium. C The equilibrium solutions of our model for each city for λ = 0.046 and job network projections for two example cities given by occupations with nonzero employment in each city. In (A–C), symbol size and color represent total employment in the city. The color bar provided in (A) also applies to (B) and (C). D Unemployment by US city during and after the Great Recession. Lines are colored by the city’s job connectivity in 2007.