Fig. 7: Peak timing accuracy—median absolute error in days.
From: Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models
The median absolute error in days is shown by the model and the number of weeks of forecasting. Errors only reflect models released at least 7 days before each observed peak in daily mortality. One week of forecasting refers to errors occurring from 7 to 13 days in advance of the observed peak, while 2 weeks refers to those occurring from 14 to 20 days prior, and so on, up to 8 weeks, which refers to 56–62 days prior.
