Fig. 4: Fraction of missed deaths over time.
From: Estimating COVID-19 mortality in Italy early in the COVID-19 pandemic
For the period of the pandemic, we show per week the fraction of missed deaths (green) with corresponding 1−σ (68% CI) estimated from the variance of the Gaussian model, the number of hospitalizations (normalized with the maximum weekly hospitalization up to 18 April 2020, in orange) and the number of tests conducted (normalized as a fraction of tests conducted in the week of 11–18 April 2020, in blue). We find that the missed fraction goes down as the number of tests increases while the hospitalizations have remained consistently high in the last 4 weeks.
