Fig. 2: Change in mortality (unadjusted, with 95% credible intervals) in England from 1 March to 31 May 2020 compared to the same period for the preceding five years, for middle super output areas (MSOAs).
From: Community factors and excess mortality in first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in England
A Excess deaths per 100,000 people aged 40 years and over in 2020 compared to the average for the same period for the preceding five years (n = 6,791 MSOAs). B Percent increase in death rates in 2020 compared to the average for the same period for the preceding 5 years (n = 6,791 MSOAs). MSOAs ranked from lowest to highest excess mortality. The colour of the credible interval (from purple to orange) for an MSOA represents the sum (n = 7–35) of the quintiles it falls in for each of the seven community characteristics associated with excess mortality (% population on income support; population density; % population non-white; % population living in overcrowded homes; air pollution (NO2 and PM2.5); care homes per 1000 population). Inserts are histograms of the distribution of (A) excess deaths per 100,000 people aged 40 years and over, and (B) percent increase in death rates across MSOAs.
