Table 3 Summary of product substitution sensitivity tests (alternative scenarios) performed on main results (base case scenario).

From: Commercial afforestation can deliver effective climate change mitigation under multiple decarbonisation pathways

 

Base case scenario

Alternative scenario

Sensitivity test

Product

Substituted product

Product

Substituted product

Reduced substitution

Carcassing (100% product substitution)

Concrete

Carcassing (50% product substitution, 50% no substitution)

Concrete

Increased substitution

Pallets and packaging

None

Glulam beam

Structural steel beam

Wood panels

None

Viscose fibre

Fibres from oil derivates (PET, recycled PET, polyamides)67

Zero CCS deployment

BECCS

Fossil fuels (with CCS)

Bioenergy (no CCS)

Fossil fuels (no CCS)

Carcassing

Concrete (with CCS)

Carcassing

Concrete (no CCS)

Wood panels (with CCS)

None

Wood panels (no CCS)

None

  1. ‘Carcassing’ refers to sawn structural timber.