Table 3 Estimate of potential future fuel consumption reduction with respect to A320neo (single-aisle) and A350 (twin-aisle) and estimated mission NOx improvement (last line).

From: Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects

 

Next Generation 2035

Future Generation 2050

Technology

Single- aisle

Twin- aisle

Single-aisle

Twin-aisle (long-range)

 

Conven-tional Tube and Wing Config.

Novel aircraft

Turbofan Flying-V / MF-BWB

Turboelec. propulsionNASA N3-X

Airframe engine integration

+2%

+1%

−3%

−4%

−5%

−10%

Novel configurations

n.a.

n.a.

n.a

n.a.

−15%

−15%

Drag reduction

−8%

−6%

−12%

−10%

−5%

--

Lightweight structures

−12%

−10%

−18%

−15%

−15%

−20%

Combustion based engines

−10%

−8%

−16%

−14%

−15%

−20%

Operations

−2%

−1%

−4%

−3%

−3%

−3%

Estimated fuel burn improvement

−22%

−18%

−38%

−34%

−40%

−44%

Estimated mission NOx improvement

−22% to −26%

−18% to −22%

−38%

−25% to −34%

−30% to −40%

−33% to −44%

  1. A detailed breakdown and analysis are given in the Supplementary Material. Note that the individual fuel reductions are not to be added, but multiplied (taking into account the snowball factors) to obtain the total estimated reduction. (n.a. means not applicable).