Fig. 1: Expected and observed CO2 emissions (C).
From: No COVID-19 climate silver lining in the US power sector
Gaussian process (GP) regression is used to provide probabilistic estimates of expected CO2 emissions in the absence of COVID-19. The GP 95% confidence interval describes the range in which CO2 emissions are expected 95% of the time, as depicted by rectangular bars for each month. The lines in the middle of the bars denote expected values and the “X” points denote observed values. Observed CO2 emissions are outside of (lower than) the 95% confidence intervals in only two forecasted months: April and May 2020.
