Table 2 Intervention scenarios for controlling transmission within university settings.

From: High COVID-19 transmission potential associated with re-opening universities can be mitigated with layered interventions

Scenario

Transmission probability per contact household/other per day

Mean no. of random contacts (SD = 1)

Mean no. of within-course contacts (SD = 4)

Max living circle size

% transmission reduction due to self-isolation within/between groups

Asymptomatic testing

Baseline

0.05a

4b

20b

24

50/100

None

COVID security

0.05a/0.04 or 0.025

4b

20b

24

50/100

None

Reduced face-to-face teaching

0.05a/0.05a

4b

15 or 5

24

50/100

None

Reduced living circle size

0.05a/0.05a

4b

20b

20 or 14

50/100

None

Improved self-isolation

0.05a/0.05a

4b

20b

24

100/100

None

Reactive mass testing

0.05a/0.05a

4b

20b

24

50/100

Every 2 or 7 days when rates are increasing

Multiple

0.05a/0.04

4b

5

14

50/100

Every 2 days when rates are increasing

  1. aCalculated such that R = 2.7.
  2. bEstimated from the Social Contact Survey.