Table 2 Intervention scenarios for controlling transmission within university settings.
Scenario | Transmission probability per contact household/other per day | Mean no. of random contacts (SD = 1) | Mean no. of within-course contacts (SD = 4) | Max living circle size | % transmission reduction due to self-isolation within/between groups | Asymptomatic testing |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline | 0.05a | 4b | 20b | 24 | 50/100 | None |
COVID security | 0.05a/0.04 or 0.025 | 4b | 20b | 24 | 50/100 | None |
Reduced face-to-face teaching | 0.05a/0.05a | 4b | 15 or 5 | 24 | 50/100 | None |
Reduced living circle size | 0.05a/0.05a | 4b | 20b | 20 or 14 | 50/100 | None |
Improved self-isolation | 0.05a/0.05a | 4b | 20b | 24 | 100/100 | None |
Reactive mass testing | 0.05a/0.05a | 4b | 20b | 24 | 50/100 | Every 2 or 7 days when rates are increasing |
Multiple | 0.05a/0.04 | 4b | 5 | 14 | 50/100 | Every 2 days when rates are increasing |