Fig. 6: IPCC-based modelling of climate driven shifts in beta diversity breakpoints.
From: The biogeographic differentiation of algal microbiomes in the upper ocean from pole to pole

Observations (1961–1990) and modelled (2010–2099) changes over the 21st century, in the thresholds for breakpoints in beta diversity. Regions are shown as red for metatranscriptomes (>18.06 °C), orange for 18S (<18.06 °C, >13.96 °C), yellow for 16S (<13.96 °C, >9.49 °C) and blue for temperatures <9.49 °C for a 1961–1990 observations from the HadISST dataset. Modelled estimates temperatures from the HadGEM2-ES CMIP5 run for the 30-year averages, 2010–2039, 2040–2069, and 2070–2099, respectively. Temperatures from HadGEM2-ES have been calibrated to the HadISST observations as described in methods. Black solid line represents the 15 °C and the dashed line the 14 °C average upper ocean temperature.