Table 1 Different model assumptions regarding the role of human mobility in facilitating pathogen spread across the country, the relationship between environmental conditions and transmission of ZIKV, and the number of times the virus was introduced into Colombia.

From: Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease

Human mobility

Transmission potential

Number of ZIKV introductions

CDR-informed

Fixed R6

One

Gravity model

Dynamic R12

Two

Radiation model

  

No human mobility

  
  1. The suite of 16 models reflected factorial combinations of these three assumptions.
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