Fig. 3: Robustness of median intervention effectiveness estimates across n = 86 experimental conditions (univariate sensitivity analysis).

Each dot represents the posterior median intervention effectiveness under a particular experimental condition. This figure contains only univariate sensitivity analysis—please see Supplementary Note 2.2 for multivariate sensitivity. Dot colour indicates categories of sensitivity analyses. Each category contains several sensitivity analyses (17 in total) and each sensitivity analysis contains several experimental conditions (n = 86 in total). Supplementary Table S1 lists all sensitivity analyses by category. A Robustness of effectiveness estimates of the main interventions included in our study. Intervention names preceded by “All” show the combined effect of multiple interventions. For example, “All gatherings banned” shows the combined effect of banning all public gatherings and all households mixing in private. B Robustness of the individual effectiveness estimates for separately banning public gatherings or household mixing in private.