Fig. 3: Impact of strategies shielding the elderly population.
From: SARS-CoV-2 transmission across age groups in France and implications for control
A Peak in hospital admissions per million, and B number of deaths per million as a function of the effective reproduction number Reff assuming a reduction of 50% or 30% in effective contacts of those older than 70 yr. The number of deaths is computed from the time interventions are implemented until the end of the simulation, corresponding to the period from 28 September 2020 to 1 January 2022. The impact of reducing contacts in individuals aged 70 yr and older in counterfactual simulations was reported according to the effective reproduction number at the start of the simulation. The effective reproduction number decreased over the course of the simulation with increasing immunity.
