Fig. 1: Estimated electricity generation between 2021 and 2100, by fuel (a) and by region (b). | Nature Communications

Fig. 1: Estimated electricity generation between 2021 and 2100, by fuel (a) and by region (b).

From: Plant conversions and abatement technologies cannot prevent stranding of power plant assets in 2 °C scenarios

Fig. 1

We estimate the amount of future electricity that can be generated from currently operating power plants and those in the pipeline. Power units are assumed to be operating at the same utilisation rates as those forecasted in the IEA Stated Policy Scenarios (with a breakdown by category of power units described in Supplementary Table 2) until the end of their lifetime. Darker shading indicates the expected generation from currently operating plants, while lighter shading indicates the expected generation from in-the-pipeline plants. The black dashed line is an example of the electricity that could be produced based on one scenario from one Integrated Assessment Model, specifically the 450 ppm, all technologies deployed scenario obtained from the MESSAGE model. All the electricity generation shown in this figure is from fossil fuel plants without carbon capture and storage.

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