Fig. 2: Incidence and Rschool from the fitted model. | Nature Communications

Fig. 2: Incidence and Rschool from the fitted model.

From: Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools

Fig. 2

We display time-series of (a) total incidence among pupils (blue) alongside incidence occurring through external (non-school) infections (red) (b) Rschool through time (thin line) alongside its seven-day moving average (thick line). Results obtained from 100 simulations in 2,979 secondary schools, each with a distinct parameter set sampled from the posterior distribution. In all panels, solid lines correspond to mean temporal profiles, shaded ribbons represent 95% prediction intervals and the shaded vertical grey regions represent time periods when schools were not fully reopen (either due to closures or school holidays).

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