Fig. 6: AFOLU GHG emissions over time for five scenarios.
From: Overcoming global inequality is critical for land-based mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement
a shows results at global level over time. b shows results at regional level for 2020, 2050, and 2100. Black solid lines in a and dots in b show the net effect across AFOLU GHG emissions. Gray solid lines in a show median values across 1.5 °C compatible illustrative mitigation pathways (LD, Ren, SP) from the IPCC AR6 Scenarios Database24. CO2 includes emissions from land-use change such as deforestation and conversion of non-forest ecosystems, as well as removals from re/afforestation and natural succession on abandoned agricultural land. CH4 includes emissions from enteric fermentation, animal waste management, and rice cultivation. N2O includes emissions from agricultural soils (fertilizer application) and animal waste management. N2O and CH4 emissions have been converted into CO2 equivalents using IPCC AR6 GWP100 factors of 273 and 27, respectively.
