Fig. 7: Identifying extreme event-based storylines.
From: Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations
a Pairs of wintertime (December-February, 1950–1980) daily-mean precipitation and wind values averaged over Portugal (box in b, c) based on data of the first ensemble member (violet) and based on all pooled ensemble members (orange) of the CESM1-CAM5 model. Large dots indicate the most extreme compound events in the two datasets, i.e. the selected event-based storylines (Methods). b, c Precipitation (shading) and sea level pressure (isolines) associated with the selected extreme events based on one (b) and all ensemble members (c). Stippling indicates locations exhibiting extreme precipitation (blue), extreme wind (green), and concurrent extremes (magenta), where extremes are defined as values exceeding the local 10-year return levels—based on December–February data. d Anomalies (%, with respect to the mean; 1950–1980) of annual regionally averaged soil moisture over the five soybean breadbasket regions according to the most extreme compound event storyline based on data from the first ensemble member (violet) and based on all pooled ensemble members (orange) of the MPI-GE model.
