Table 2 Parameter definitions and prior distributions
Parameter | Definition | Prior |
|---|---|---|
\({\gamma }_{{MGUS}}\) | Intercept for rate of MGUS development | [−20, 0] |
\({\beta }_{{MGUS},a}\) | Age coefficient for rate of MGUS development | [0, 1] |
\({\beta }_{{MGUS},s}\) | Gender coefficient for rate of MGUS development | [−15,5] |
\({\beta }_{{MGUS},r}\) | Race/ethnicity coefficient for rate of MGUS development | [−15, 5] |
\({\gamma }_{{MM}}\) | Intercept for rate of MM development | [−20, 0] |
\({\beta }_{{MM},a}\) | Age coefficient for rate of MM development | [−15, 1] |
\({\beta }_{{MM},{a}^{2}}\) | Quadratic age coefficient for rate of MM development | [−15, 1] |
\({\beta }_{{MM},s}\) | Gender coefficient for rate of MM development | [−15, 5] |
\({\beta }_{{MM},r}\) | Race/ethnicity coefficient for rate of MM development | [−15, 5] |
\({\tau }^{2}\) | Variance of MM incidence | [0, 100] |
