Fig. 3: Agreement of local temperature anomalies.
From: Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events
Composite maps of normalised temperature anomalies (after detrending; refer to Methods for details of normalisation and detrending) from perfect-model decadal simulations started from El Niño (EN; a, b, c), La Niña (LN; d, e, f) and neutral (NEU; g, h, i) conditions for forecast years 1 (a, d, g), 2–3 (b, e, h) and 4–6 (c, f, i). The pattern correlations (weighted by grid cell areas) of the initialised (rini) and uninitialized (rnoIni) perfect-model predictions compared to the reference simulation are shown above each panel. Subplot titles are in black when rini is significantly greater than rnoIni (exceding the one-sided 95% confidence interval, based on 1000 bootstrap realisations), whereas grey subplot titles show non-significant difference between rini and rnoIni.
