Table 1 Baseline characteristics of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir users who initiated early (day 0–1) and late (days ≥ 2) in (a) mortality or hospitalization analysis and (b) viral burden rebound analysis

From: Optimal timing of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment after COVID-19 symptom onset or diagnosis: target trial emulation

 

(a) Mortality or hospitalization analysis

 

Before IPW

After IPW

Baseline characteristics

Day 0–1 (N = 43,625)

Days ≥2 (N = 43,445)

SMD

Day 0–1 (N = 43,625)

Days ≥2

(N = 43,445)

SMD

N/mean

%/SD

N/mean

% / SD

%/mean

%/SD

%/mean

%/SD

Age, years

62.6

14.4

61.0

15.1

0.11

61.8

14.7

61.8

14.9

0.00

18–40

4232

9.7%

5200

12.0%

0.09

10.9%

10.7%

0.02

41–65

19,267

44.2%

19,812

45.6%

45.5%

44.7%

>65

20,126

46.1%

18,433

42.4%

43.5%

44.6%

Sex

Male

19,218

44.1%

18,486

42.6%

0.03

43.5%

43.7%

0.00

Female

24,407

55.9%

24,959

57.4%

56.5%

56.3%

Regions

Hong Kong Island

7446

17.1%

7369

17.0%

0.01

17.0%

17.1%

0.00

Kowloon

11,422

26.2%

11,560

26.6%

26.3%

26.2%

New Territories

24,718

56.7%

24,469

56.3%

56.6%

56.6%

Others

39

0.1%

47

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

Charlson’s index

2.7

1.4

2.6

1.4

0.10

2.7

1.4

2.7

1.4

0.01

0–4

42,202

96.7%

41,828

96.3%

0.03

96.6%

95.9%

0.03

5–6

1203

2.8%

1,371

3.2%

2.9%

3.4%

7–14

220

0.5%

246

0.6%

0.5%

0.6%

Symptomatic presentation

29,159

66.8%

39,615

91.2%

0.63

79.0%

78.9%

0.00

Concomitant corticosteroid use

425

1.0%

499

1.1%

0.02

1.1%

1.2%

0.01

Immunocompromised

603

1.4%

720

1.7%

0.02

1.6%

1.7%

0.00

Healthcare utilization

1,761

4.0%

1,878

4.3%

0.01

4.4%

4.7%

0.01

Previous SARS-CoV-2 infection

90

0.2%

29

0.1%

0.04

0.1%

0.1%

0.00

COVID-19 vaccination status*

Not fully vaccinated

5073

11.6%

5661

13.0%

0.05

12.5%

12.7%

0.01

Fully vaccinated but not boosted

14,883

34.1%

14,966

34.4%

34.3%

34.4%

Boosted

23,669

54.3%

22,818

52.5%

53.2%

53.0%

Time of SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosis

March–June 2022

2900

6.6%

2753

6.3%

0.03

6.6%

6.8%

0.01

July–October 2022

16,639

38.1%

17,119

39.4%

38.9%

39.0%

November 2022–January 2023

24,086

55.2%

23,573

54.3%

54.5%

54.2%

Day of the week of SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosis

Sunday

6084

13.9%

6136

14.1%

0.02

14.0%

14.3%

0.02

Monday

5812

13.3%

5929

13.6%

13.4%

13.6%

Tuesday

5649

12.9%

5608

12.9%

13.0%

12.7%

Wednesday

6316

14.5%

6185

14.2%

14.4%

14.4%

Thursday

6751

15.5%

6549

15.1%

15.4%

15.0%

Friday

6602

15.1%

6441

14.8%

15.2%

14.9%

Saturday

6411

14.7%

6597

15.2%

14.6%

15.0%

Day of the week of SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosis

Weekend

12,495

28.6%

12,733

29.3%

0.01

28.6%

29.4%

0.02

Weekdays

31,130

71.4%

30,712

70.7%

71.4%

70.6%

Type of viral test for case detection

Rapid antigen test

30,957

71.0%

31,833

73.3%

0.05

72.2%

72.4%

0.01

RT-qPCR

12,668

29.0%

11,612

26.7%

27.8%

27.6%

 

(b) Viral burden rebound analysis

 

Before IPW

After IPW

Baseline characteristics

Day 0–1 (N = 9,128)

Days ≥2 (N = 541)

SMD

Day 0–1 (N = 9128)

Days ≥2 (N = 541)

SMD

N/mean

%/SD

N/mean

%/SD

%/mean

%/SD

%/mean

%/SD

Age, years

73.0

15.2

69.4

17.0

0.24

72.8

15.3

72.5

15.6

0.02

18–40

412

4.5%

48

8.9%

0.21

4.7%

5.5%

0.04

41–65

1824

20.0%

126

23.3%

20.2%

19.2%

>65

6892

75.5%

367

67.8%

75.0%

75.3%

Sex

Male

4837

53.0%

296

54.7%

0.03

53.1%

53.8%

0.01

Female

4291

47.0%

245

45.3%

46.9%

46.2%

Regions

Hong Kong Island

1867

20.5%

104

19.2%

0.07

20.4%

19.8%

0.02

Kowloon

2526

27.7%

145

26.8%

27.6%

28.1%

New Territories

4693

51.4%

287

53.0%

51.5%

51.6%

Others

42

0.5%

5

0.9%

0.5%

0.5%

Charlson’s index

4.6

1.8

4.3

2.1

0.16

4.5

1.8

4.5

1.9

0.01

0–4

4270

46.8%

285

52.7%

0.13

47.1%

48.0%

0.04

5–6

3808

41.7%

193

35.7%

41.5%

39.5%

7–14

1050

11.5%

63

11.6%

11.4%

12.4%

Symptomatic presentation

968

10.6%

74

13.7%

0.09

10.8%

10.5%

0.01

Inpatient users

8861

97.1%

519

95.9%

0.06

97.0%

97.1%

0.01

Concomitant corticosteroid use

1976

21.6%

128

23.7%

0.05

21.8%

22.9%

0.02

Immunocompromised

2112

23.1%

108

20.0%

0.08

23.0%

23.6%

0.01

Healthcare utilization

6045

66.2%

342

63.2%

0.06

66.1%

65.5%

0.01

Previous SARS-CoV-2 infection

1294

14.2%

77

14.2%

0.00

14.2%

14.8%

0.02

COVID-19 vaccination status*

Not fully vaccinated

2,762

30.3%

197

36.4%

0.13

30.6%

31.5%

0.02

Fully vaccinated but not boosted

4,028

44.1%

216

39.9%

43.9%

42.7%

Boosted

2,338

25.6%

128

23.7%

25.5%

25.8%

Time of SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosis

March–June 2022

697

7.6%

100

18.5%

0.33

8.3%

8.7%

0.03

July–October 2022

4495

49.2%

250

46.2%

49.1%

47.7%

November 2022–January 2023

3936

43.1%

191

35.3%

42.7%

43.6%

Day of the week of SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosis

Sunday

1314

14.4%

68

12.6%

0.19

14.4%

13.5%

0.20

Monday

1322

14.5%

67

12.4%

14.5%

11.6%

Tuesday

1260

13.8%

68

12.6%

13.8%

12.4%

Wednesday

1273

13.9%

70

12.9%

14.0%

13.1%

Thursday

1350

14.8%

70

12.9%

14.8%

12.5%

Friday

1349

14.8%

89

16.5%

14.8%

16.9%

Saturday

1260

13.8%

109

20.1%

13.8%

20.0%

Day of the week of SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosis

Weekend

2574

28.2%

177

32.7%

0.10

28.2%

33.5%

0.12

Weekdays

6554

71.8%

364

67.3%

71.8%

66.5%

Type of viral test for case detection

Rapid antigen test

725

7.9%

26

4.8%

0.13

7.8%

8.6%

0.03

RT-qPCR

8403

92.1%

515

95.2%

92.2%

91.4%

Presence of at least one Ct value measurement within five days from diagnosis or symptom onset

8483

92.9%

506

93.5%

0.02

93.0%

93.3%

0.01

  1. IPW inverse probability weighting, SD standard deviation, SMD standardized mean difference, NA not applicable, RT-qPCR real-time quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction.
  2. *Fully vaccinated but not boosted patients were defined as those with two doses of BNT162b2 (Comirnaty) or three doses of COVID-19 Vaccine (Vero Cell), Inactivated (CoronaVac); boosted patients were defined as those with at least three doses of BNT162b2 (Comirnaty) or four doses of COVID-19 Vaccine (Vero Cell), Inactivated (CoronaVac).
  3. Omicron subvariant BA.2 was dominant from March to June 2022, BA.2 and BA.4/BA.5 from July to October 2022 and BA.5, BA.2.75, and BQ.1 from November 2022 to January 2023.