Fig. 4: Vertical distribution of significantly higher interannual-to-decadal prediction skills in habitat viability within the Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) using the Community Earth System Model-Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble (CESM-DPLE) forecast.

a, b Prediction skills of Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) for the medium-\({E}_{{{{{{\rm{o}}}}}}}\) (temperature sensitivity of hypoxic vulnerability; 0.4 eV) species from the persistence (a) and DPLE (b) forecasts in the northwest (01-EBS, 11-AI, and 02-GoA) and northeast (07-NEUS, 08-SS, and 09-LN) coast Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs). The x-axis of each panel represents lead year ranging from 1 to 10, and the y-axis represents depth from 0 to 600 m. At each lead year, depths that have significantly nonzero ACCs (at the 95% confidence level) are marked with thick black vertical lines. c Same as a or b, but for the ACC difference (\(\Delta\)ACC) between the DPLE and persistence forecasts (DPLE minus persistence). The significantly increased ACCs (at the 95% confidence level) are marked with thick black vertical lines at each lead year and in each panel. d–f Same as a–c, but for the southwest (03-CC and 04-GoC) and southeast coast (05-GoM and 06-SEUS) LMEs and the Insular Pacific Hawaiian (10-IPH). Data to reproduce the figures are shared on Figshare53.