Fig. 3: Changes in cold-related excess mortality fractions (%) at different levels of global warming by country/area under the climate-population and climate-only scenarios, compared with the historical period (1995–2014). | Nature Communications

Fig. 3: Changes in cold-related excess mortality fractions (%) at different levels of global warming by country/area under the climate-population and climate-only scenarios, compared with the historical period (1995–2014).

From: Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels

Fig. 3

Estimates (shown as dots) are reported as the ensemble average of 18 general circulation models under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. The whiskers represent the 95% empirical confidence intervals. The future periods in which the 20-year running mean of global mean temperature first reaches the 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of warming above pre-industrial level (1850–1900) are 2018–2037, 2032–2051, and 2055–2074, respectively under SSP5-8.5.

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