Table 1 Advantages and limitations of statistical and dynamical downscaling procedures. Adapted from ref. 196

From: Systematic review of the uncertainty of coral reef futures under climate change

 

Advantages

Limitations

Statistical downscaling

• Computationally inexpensive and requires minimal expertise

• Assumes constant relationship between local and large-scale climate through time

 

• May correct for biases in GCMs

• May not capture climate mechanisms

 

• Can be applied in data-scarce regions

• Limited ability to capture variability and extremes

 

• More flexibility in models and scenarios

 

Dynamical downscaling

• Simulates climate mechanisms and more likely to capture key processes involved

• Computationally demanding, requires specialized expertise, and longer run-time

 

• No assumptions of the relationship between current and future climate conditions

• Biases present in GCMs can extend and propagate to regional scales

 

• Technology advances constantly improving availability of regional climate models

• Results can be sensitive to uncertain parameterizations

  

• Limited flexibility, often tied to specific models and scenarios