Fig. 4: Alternative intervention scenarios.
From: The decline of the 2022 Italian mpox epidemic: Role of behavior changes and control strategies
A Total number of infections across the simulation period (May 9, 2022 – February 28, 2023), by intervention. None: no active intervention; CT: contact tracing (tracing contacts of diagnosed cases); RT: ring tracing (tracing both contacts of diagnosed cases and contacts of contacts); CV: contact vaccination (tracing and vaccinating contacts of diagnosed cases); RV: ring vaccination (tracing and vaccinating contacts of diagnosed cases and contacts of contacts). Boxplots represent mean values (central bars), interquartile ranges (rectangular boxes), and 95%PI (whiskers). B Cumulative percentage of simulations that result in a stochastic extinction over time, by type of intervention. A stochastic extinction occurs when there are no more infectious or exposed individuals in the population.
